Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.125828e-03 0.002323 0.002520 0.002732 0.002953 0.003176 0.003417
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.687578e-03 0.001990 0.002303 0.002651 0.003024 0.003411 0.003840
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.349562e-03 0.001731 0.002142 0.002614 0.003134 0.003686 0.004311
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.105235e-03 0.001550 0.002049 0.002639 0.003306 0.004029 0.004863
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.969099e-04 0.001387 0.001960 0.002658 0.003468 0.004360 0.005405
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.434778e-04 0.001271 0.001913 0.002718 0.003670 0.004737 0.006001
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.083900e-04 0.001160 0.001861 0.002764 0.003852 0.005089 0.006571
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.832527e-04 0.001044 0.001791 0.002779 0.003994 0.005392 0.007084
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.559765e-04 0.000903 0.001675 0.002728 0.004048 0.005590 0.007474
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.694323e-04 0.000807 0.001608 0.002731 0.004164 0.005856 0.007941
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.009579e-04 0.000726 0.001551 0.002742 0.004284 0.006125 0.008411
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.647435e-04 0.000693 0.001562 0.002838 0.004510 0.006520 0.009027
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.356923e-04 0.000674 0.001596 0.002977 0.004805 0.007015 0.009786
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.119000e-05 0.000551 0.001462 0.002881 0.004800 0.007150 0.010122
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.278184e-05 0.000460 0.001368 0.002835 0.004856 0.007359 0.010550
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.358895e-05 0.000404 0.001324 0.002856 0.004999 0.007677 0.011109
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.938866e-06 0.000352 0.001279 0.002873 0.005135 0.007986 0.011659
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.026595e-08 0.000318 0.001264 0.002932 0.005328 0.008366 0.012296
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000283 0.001241 0.002978 0.005501 0.008720 0.012904
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000243 0.001201 0.002992 0.005630 0.009019 0.013442
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000191 0.001121 0.002938 0.005660 0.009190 0.013822
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000158 0.001078 0.002941 0.005767 0.009457 0.014321
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000131 0.001042 0.002951 0.005884 0.009736 0.014833